QA回答:什么因素導致了秦朝的滅亡?
What contributed to the fall of the Qin dynasty?
譯文簡介
網(wǎng)友:只要秦軍能堅守陣地并鎮(zhèn)壓叛亂,其他諸如政治暴虐或文化融合等問題均可解決。這些問題確實加速了秦朝的滅亡,但并非直接誘因。
正文翻譯
秦之崩潰本質是其法家治國體系在帝國新環(huán)境下的系統(tǒng)性失靈。
評論翻譯
很贊 ( 16 )
收藏
The direct reason was its military defeats.
直接原因是軍事上的潰敗。
只要秦軍能堅守陣地并鎮(zhèn)壓叛亂,其他諸如政治暴虐或文化融合等問題均可解決。這些問題確實加速了秦朝的滅亡,但并非直接誘因。
In short, the elite of the Qin army was divided into two parts, the northern and the southern armies. The Northern units commander Meng Tian was ordered to suicide due to the political struggle. Since the rebellion and uprising against the Qin dynasty began, the northern army led by the vice commander Wang Li was pulled back and fought the rebels.
簡而言之,秦軍精銳分為南北兩部。北軍主將蒙恬因政治斗爭被逼自盡。叛亂爆發(fā)后,副將王離率北軍回師鎮(zhèn)壓。
Yet in one of the greatest battles possibly in the history of the world that was impossible to lose in 999 of 1000, the northern army with the legacy of defeating the xiongnu army and conquered the Eastern Kingdoms, was completely wiped out by xiang Yu’s army. 200,000-300,000 Qin soldiers were either killed or buried alive after they surrendered. xiang Yu historically was considered the greatest general in the East.
然而在這場千載難逢的戰(zhàn)役中(勝率本應高達99.9%),曾擊潰匈奴、橫掃六國的北軍竟被項羽全殲。20-30萬秦兵投降后遭屠殺或活埋。項羽由此被后世奉為東方第一戰(zhàn)神。
而負責開拓南疆的趙佗所率南軍,卻選擇斷絕與中原聯(lián)系,保持中立置身事外。
此時秦廷僅剩囚徒與雜役組成的烏合之眾,連故土(原秦國疆域)都無力守衛(wèi)。核心地帶淪陷只是時間問題。最終劉邦項羽先后破城,秦帝遇弒,宮闕盡焚。
此即秦亡之直接因果。
The collapse of Qin dynasty was primarily a result of the systematic malfunction of its legalistic political ideology in the new imperial environment.
秦之崩潰本質是其法家治國體系在帝國新環(huán)境下的系統(tǒng)性失靈。
商鞅變法(公元前4世紀)確立的法度在統(tǒng)一前運轉良好,因秦國當時地狹人稀。
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://m.mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉載請注明出處
關中土地貧瘠遠遜黃河下游,承載力有限。即便吞并巴蜀沃野(今四川),至公元前3世紀中葉人口仍無顯著增長。
小國寡民使嚴刑峻法得以落實。在有限疆域內(nèi),雖法令苛刻,但動員民眾實現(xiàn)"統(tǒng)一"單一目標切實可行:按戶等征調,節(jié)奏較他國從容。(下圖:公元前350年東亞局勢)
These all changed fundamentally when Qin transformed from a regional kingdom into a centralized empire. Firstly, its nation-building goals became diversified — it now face at least three immediate challenges that need to be addressed with efficiency and caution:
當秦國升級為中央集權帝國,一切劇變:建國目標多元化,需同時應對三大急務——
構建統(tǒng)一國內(nèi)市場(秦始皇推行貨幣、度量衡、文字乃至思想的標準化);
防范六國遺民叛亂(收繳民間兵器運往咸陽,然起義軍本就不依賴制式武器——木棍驢騎皆可成軍);
抵御胡越邊患(燕趙楚原有低成本御胡經(jīng)驗,秦卻只能軍事征服:百萬大軍戍邊修長城,致腹地空虛)。(下圖:公元前221年秦統(tǒng)一后的東亞)
We know that the Dazexiang uprising of 209 BCE marked the beginning of the collapse of Qin Empire; the uprising, however, was not some desperate attempt made by cornered animals, rather it was directly caused by Qin’s harsh laws which mandated the execution of anyone who showed up late for obligatory work assignments.
大澤鄉(xiāng)起義(前209年)雖敲響喪鐘,但非困獸之斗——其直接誘因正是"失期當斬"的嚴苛律法。
義軍領袖陳勝本需帶數(shù)百農(nóng)夫北上戍邊千里。若秦法向來殘暴,為何統(tǒng)一前無大規(guī)模起義?
如前所述:統(tǒng)一前秦國疆域狹小,"邊境"不過三百里防線,法令因可控性強而可行。待疆域擴四倍、人口增七倍,舊法體系必然崩壞,反成催命符。
There are many factors that contributed to the fall of Qin, such as:
秦朝的覆滅有多重因素,例如:
秦二世昏庸無能——與秦始皇不同,他愚鈍且依賴趙高決策。同時,他又急于證明自己,因此不顧李斯等賢臣勸諫,執(zhí)意繼續(xù)阿房宮等工程,不肯放緩以減輕經(jīng)濟負擔。
秦法本已嚴苛,而秦二世為彰顯權威,竟進一步加重刑罰——此舉極其愚蠢,尤其在他缺乏其父才能的情況下。秦人因百年來已適應法家體制,尚能接受嚴法;但統(tǒng)一后,六國遺民對此難以容忍。
秦法細致入微,例如:糧食入倉需專人監(jiān)察,農(nóng)民收割時禁酒等。雖本意是為民生,但過于瑣碎,且與六國舊俗相悖。故六國貴族及百姓對秦怨憤極深。
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://m.mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉載請注明出處
經(jīng)濟重負。李斯曾勸秦二世減稅、停建或緩建阿房宮、長城及陵寢,但二世反增徭役、加賦稅以加速工程。
胡亥篡位后,屠戮始皇子女,并誅殺蒙恬、蒙毅等忠臣良將,致使賢臣或隱退或被害。始皇死后僅兩年,朝中只剩諂媚之徒,他們隱瞞各地民變,終致局勢無可挽回。
When Qin attacked the six countries, The strategy adopted by the State of Qin was to occupy the population , land and food in the occupied place,and using these resources to constantly expand to obtain more abundant land and population,Collect local taxation and plunder the official wealth,maintain the economic balance of the empire ,and ensure the military logistic.
秦滅六國時,采取“占其地、奪其民、掠其糧”之策,以戰(zhàn)養(yǎng)戰(zhàn),通過征稅與抄沒貴族財富維持帝國經(jīng)濟與軍需平衡。
統(tǒng)一后,秦仍未止戰(zhàn),南征百越(前219年發(fā)兵50萬,耗時五年)、北擊匈奴(前214年遣30萬奪回河套)。雖取勝,但兩地人稀地貧,遠不足以彌補戰(zhàn)爭消耗。
同時,為鎮(zhèn)壓六國故地,官僚成本激增,財政危機凸顯。
統(tǒng)一后戰(zhàn)事減少,閑散人員增多,朝廷以長城、阿房宮、陵寢等工程吸納勞力。但這些基建無法短期創(chuàng)收,剛性支出形成財政黑洞。
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://m.mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉載請注明出處
為彌補赤字而加征農(nóng)稅,官吏欺壓百姓致民變四起,鎮(zhèn)壓行動又加劇財政失衡。
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://m.mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉載請注明出處
另一關鍵敗因是精神文明建設的缺失。秦人將民眾視為耕戰(zhàn)機器,這套法度適合原本的“戎狄之邦”,卻與六國文明格格不入。
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://m.mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉載請注明出處
文明社會需有民眾自愿認同的價值觀。和平年代除溫飽外,更需思想建設。故秦亡時,一介農(nóng)夫振臂即可傾覆王朝,而百姓士人無一懷念。
You can consider the whole Qin dynasty, and the first generation of Han dynasty, as one grand unification war, with Qin being first campaign, and Han being the other, each campaign last for decades.
可將秦朝與漢初視為一場統(tǒng)一戰(zhàn)爭的兩個階段:秦為第一階段,漢為第二階段,各持續(xù)數(shù)十年。
因“七國合一”的難度超乎想象,所需時間遠超世人預估,故秦亡實屬必然。
秦雖滅六國,但未(也無力)實施種族清洗,各國殘余勢力必然存在。
在秦軍高壓下,反抗火種始終未滅。即便推行書同文等政策,抵抗仍在持續(xù)。
故始皇一死,諸子奪嫡,反抗之火瞬間燎原。最終勝出的勢力重整河山,建立漢朝。
在此過程中,地方抵抗勢力或消亡或歸順,統(tǒng)一進程的阻力終被瓦解。
原創(chuàng)翻譯:龍騰網(wǎng) http://m.mintwatchbillionaireclub.com 轉載請注明出處
重申:要實現(xiàn)“七國歸一”,秦朝之亡絕對不可避免。